Every year, the country turns its attention to a small city in Pennsylvania, where, legend has it, a groundhog named Phil has the ability to predict an early spring.
But how much should we trust this guy?
The rodent saw his shadow in 2017, which should have meant six more weeks of winter. But temperatures in February and March stayed above average.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration lists Groundhog Day predictions since 1988. Only six of Phil’s last 30 predictions were correct, the NOAA reported.
That’s a 20 percent accuracy rate.
Last year Ohio’s own Buckeye Chuck also saw his shadow and predicted more winter. So if you are going to pick a groundhog prognosticator, you may want to be a homer. Since 2006, Ohio’s own Buckeye Chuck has been twice as accurate as Phil, with six correct predictions to Phil’s three. let’s see how it works out this year.
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